2016 is the year when the stock
pickers died too. Ackman the famous
hedge fund manager and Buffett the legend both did not do well in 2015.
Furthermore, I checked the performances of many gurus from GuruFocus.com. I
found most gurus did not beat S&P 500 for the last 5 years but they did in
the last 10 years.
Most AAII screens were negative
in 2015 and did not beat S&P 500. Traders
make money in a sideward market at the expense of the stock pickers. In other
words, technical beats fundamental in 2015.
I reviewed the performances
of many gurus. I was surprised for the last five years it is far better to
invest in an ETF fund that stimulates the market such as SPY. In general, most cannot
beat SPY for the last 3 years and I estimated less than 50% beating SPY in the
last 5 years. However, there are more gurus beating SPY in the last 10 years. I
speculate that when they become famous, they cannot handle the extra funds to
invest. The market may not be rational for the last 5 years or all of them
chase the same group of stocks.
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