In general, market timing is just a prediction. When the guess is educated, it has more chance to materialize. If it is 100% certain, there will be no poor folks by spending $10 in my book the Art of Investing.
I expect a
mild year in 2015 as it is a pre-election year. Statistics will confirm
it. However, we have a record-high margin debt. It worries me and by
statistics the year after usually do not do well (actually last year was
also the record-high year).
I have a simple technique to exit
before the market plunges. It worked well for the last two major
plunges. It will work but it may not give us the ample time to prepare
as the last two. It will not spot the peak but would reduce further