68 Sell short
Recently there are big losses for
shorting Netflix and Tesla. I still do not like Tesla and they can only succeed
depending on the $10,000 subsidy or rebate from the government for each car
they sell.
Shorting
is better to be avoided for most:
·
Could lose more than 100% of the investment.
Actually, in theory, there is no limit. If the shorted stock price rises
by 10 times, the loss is well over 10 times money invested.
·
Need to pay dividends and interest for the
shorted stock.
The higher the dividend rate for the stock, the more
you have to pay. The experienced would avoid high-dividend stocks to short.
Need to pay interest for ‘borrowing’ the stocks to sell.
Brokers charge interest rates differently and it could be a huge saving to shop
around if you short stocks a lot.
·
Need both fundamental and technical analyses.
From my experience, a technical analysis is more important
in shorting.
·
If successful in shorting, gains are subjected
to the short-term capital gain taxes which are typically higher than long-term
capital gain taxes.
·
Not all the
stocks can be shorted.
·
Selling short is not allowed in retirement
accounts as of 2013. However, you can buy contra ETFs for a group of stocks to
bet against the market or a sector, but not on a specific stock.
·
The following sectors are riskier: the drug,
mine, bank (unless you know the quality of mortgages) and insurance sectors. A
single drug approval could drive the stock price up by more than 25% in one
day.
·
There is no perfect timing. Some stocks
fluctuate a lot with no rational reasons. Some stocks may be manipulated.
·
Watch out for short squeezes when the short
percentage approaches over 30%. In a nut shell, the stock is running out of shares
to be shorted. As a result, it would rise in price especially on any good news.
Using put options is similar to shorting a company with more advantages than disadvantages.
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My e-book Debunk the Myths of Investing could save you a lot of money in investing. The above is one chapter out of 105 and some important chapters will not be included in the blog.
http://ebtonypow.blogspot.com/2012/12/special-debunk-myths-of-buffett.html
Sample portfolio for the book.
http://stockportfolios.blogspot.com/2013/03/welcome.html
(c) 2013 Tony Pow
Disclaimer. I'm not responsible for your actions in your investment. Treat this as educational information and past performance does not guarantee future performance.
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