Ukraine (updated)

 

My personal opinions as follows may not be reflected in most of the media.

 

If there were a war with Ukraine, it would be good for the U.S. military suppliers and also would dilute the war atmosphere in the South China Sea. Recently we have self-inflicted damages of our nuclear submarine and our F35-C, which are our top weapons.  Hopefully, they are just unavoidable in new weapons; many suspect the lack of training, implementation and quality control. If there were no war in Ukraine, Biden would claim the credit.

 

Most likely the war will not happen. Russia would not want another war as it would drag down their economy from previous experiences. So is the U.S., as we cannot have two wars at the same time. In addition, it would give China a chance to reunite (or invade depending on which side you are on) Taiwan. China is trying her best to reunite the country peacefully, but using force is still possible, especially when Taiwan declares independence.

 

The major reason of no war is the EU heading with Germany and France would not want to engage in the war for their own benefits. Most countries in the EU depend on Russia’s supply of natural gas and oil.

 

Most likely Ukraine would not join EU and NATO. If there were a war, there would be refugees from Ukraine and the EU have had a hard time  accommodating refugees in the last few years. So far, all talks and no commitment to send soldiers.

 

Ukraine has been the sole loser since their president has been pro U.S. Ukraine used to be the most prosperous country in the region, and now one of the poorest. Russia cannot tolerate Ukraine joining NATO, the same reason for not letting Russia to set up missiles in Cuba. It is better to leave Ukraine as a buffer zone.

 

As a common citizen, I do not like wars at all. I have heard many horrible stories on how the Japanese killed Chinese citizens mercilessly during WW2. The US has not experienced these sufferings in our own land. During wars, we have many youths sent back in body bags; they should enjoy the best time of their life. It is also discrimination, wealth gap and inequality as most of these youths are in these categories. If we send the children of our politicians, there will be no war started by us. Hope major powers do not intervene with other countries’ conflicts. 

 

------------------

This article will be included in my book "A nuclear war with China?" from Amazon.com.