Wednesday, December 15, 2021

Best Stocks for 2022

 

 

Past Performances

 Book #1: “Best Stocks to Buy for July, 2021”

 

Start date: 07/15/2021. End date: 12/01/2021.

Summary: 

List (# of stocks)

Return

Annualized

Beat RSP

Primary list (8)

5%

13%

487%

Re-recommended (4)

22%

57%

2,510%

Momentum (2)

12%

137%

265%

Short (3)

11%

128%

241%

Inflation hedge (5)

-5%

-13%

-705%

Risky (3)

45%

117%

5,275%

 

Details

Primary list 

Symbol (8)

Return

Annualized

ATEN

34%

91%

DKS

16%

42%

HIMX

-30%

-79%

JEF

10%

28%

MPB

11%

30%

MT

-14%

-36%

OPY

8%

21%

VSTO

2%

7%

 

 

 

Average

5%

13%

RSP

1%

 

Beat RSP by

487%

 

 

6 winners and 2 losers. Both losers are foreign companies: HIMX (Taiwan) and MT (Luxembourg). Will avoid foreign countries in the future.

Sub list of the previous recommendations.

Re Recommended (4 stocks)

These stocks have been recommended in my previous books.

 

Symbol

Return

Ann.

DSK

16%

42%

GTS

52%

137%

JEF

10%

28%

OPY

8%

21%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

22%

57%

RSP

1%

2%

Beat RSP by

2,510%

 

 

This is fantastic and this sub list will be continued in this book. It seems the winners keep on winning.

Short-term lists 

There are two bonus lists: Momentum and Short. These lists are short-term, and hence I use one month after as the end dates. I included 2 months for whether we should hold for one more month. 

The short-terms lists may not be appropriate depending on when you buy this book.

Start date: 07/15/2021.  End date: 08/15/2021. I also included returns for 2 months. 

Momentum (2 stocks)

Symbol

Return 1 M

Ann.

Ret. 2 M

Ann

CLAR

-3%

-30%

-2%

-13%

CROX

27%

303%

33%

193%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

12%

137%

15%

90%

RSP

3%

37%

3%

17%

Beat RSP by

265%

 

440%

 

 

This time is quite good, but not in the previous book. In this case, holding two months is better than one month in “Best RSP by”.

 

Short selling betting the stocks to go down (3 stocks).

 

 Short selling is not recommended particularly for beginners due to the extra risk.

 

Symbol

Return 1 M

Ann.

Ret. 2 M

Ann

CCL

-4%

-44%

-6%

-33%

NCLH

-1%

-8%

-3%

-15%

MILE

38%

435%

45%

264%

 

 

 

 

 

Average

11%

128%

12%

72%

RSP

3%

37%

2%

17%

Beat RSP by

241%

 

330%

 

 

CCL and NCLN are cruise liners and this sector did not perform well in this period. For diversification, you should only trade one stock in this sector.

Sub list to hedge inflation

 

Commodity (5)

Return

Ann.

GLD

-3%

-8%

IYM

-1%

-3%

SLV             

-17%

-41%

USO

-4%

-11%

XLP

-1%

-4%

 

 

 

Average

-5%

-13%

RSP

1%

2%

Beat RSP by

-705%

 


This list does not perform even that we had high inflation. It is due to excessive printing of money that makes stocks (as opposed to commodities) more attractive. However, I still recommend a small portion of your portfolio invested in this group. This is the only loser in this specific book. 

Sub list of risky stocks

 

Commodity (3)

Return

Ann.

EVC

16%

43%

NUE

10%

26%

YELL

108%

283%

 

 

 

Average

45%

117%

RSP

1%

2%

Beat RSP by

5,275%

 

 

It turns out this list has the best performing in this specific book. Nothing risked, nothing gained. When the market is risky, do not bet on this list. I had YELL at one time and it was stopped out. Be careful on using stop orders on volatile and low volume stocks.

--------------------------

My new book in this "Best stocks" series available on Dec. 15, 2021.

Best Stocks for 2022.

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B09NMR3YNR

New book "Best Stocks for 2022" from Amazon

 

Past Performances

 

Management Summary as of 12/01/21

The book sales in this series should be based on past performances. Obviously not.

 

The following is for reference only, and I am not liable for any errors. The following performances are from my all last four books in this series. See Methodology for details. Performances of the primary lists:

 

Book

Stocks

Return

Ann.

Beat RSP by1

Best Stocks to buy as of July, 20214

          8

5%

13%

487%

Best Stocks for 2021 2nd Edition

10

42%3

52%3

220%

Best Stocks for 2021

4

29%

44%

118%

Best Stocks to Buy from Aug, 2020

14

45%

45%

3%5

 

 

 

 

 

Avg.

9

30%

39%

207%2

 

1 “Beat RSP by” does not include commissions, fees and dividends.

2 If you buy all stocks recommended in the primary lists (most books provided sub lists), you should have an annualized returns of 39% and beat RSP (representing the market) by about 207% without considering commissions, dividends and fees.

3 CTB selected in “Best Stocks for 2021 2nd Edition” has been delisted (most likely it was acquired). It is my better winner (it returned 44% and 217% annualized on 4/22/2021), and hence the return of this list should be better than the stated.

4 Performance: July 15, 2021 to Dec. 1, 2021.

5 Initially I used SPY and this book beat SPY by 25% (now only 3% with RSP).

 

No one can predict the future performance of his or her selected stocks. Based on the last year of the books in this series, the chance of success of my selection is good for this book.

 


--------------------------

My new book in this "Best stocks" series available on Dec. 15, 2021.

Best Stocks for 2022.

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B09NMR3YNR