Important. This is my preparation. Talk to your financial advisor before you commit money.
This
article prepares you for some of the predicted disasters in 2020, which may
never materialize. However, it also helps you prepare yourself for any future
disasters. The disasters may never happen
but your actions are the insurance for protecting yourself. Depending on
your risk tolerance, allocate 2% to 25% for this effort. I divide the actions
into several categories.
Preparing for depreciation of USD.
The
government has been printing too many USD and the economy is not that rosy as
our government describes as of 2019. As a result, the USD would lose the
reserve currency status. We know what happened to U.K. when the pound was
replaced by USD. In preparing for a
market plunge, we usually accumulate cash or buying safe Treasury bills. It
does not work this time if this cash loses most of its buying power.
Here
are my suggestions on what to buy. The current prices are based on around Oct.
1, 2019. They are rounded up for easier to remember and they are used for
reference only. Check the current prices
and I am not responsible for any errors.
Action
|
Related
ETF
|
Current
Price
|
|
|
|
Gold
per ounce.
|
|
$1,490
|
Gold
coins (Canadian).
|
|
$1,590
|
Gold
ETF
|
GLD
|
$141
|
Gold
Trust
|
IAU
|
$14
|
Gold
miner
|
RING
|
$22
|
|
|
|
Silver
per ounce
|
|
$17
|
Silver
(American Eagle)
|
|
$26
|
Silver
Trust
|
SLV
|
$16
|
|
|
|
Bitcoin
(too risky for me)
|
|
$8,000
|
Copper
Miners (risky)
|
COPX
|
$17
|
Commodity-indexed
Trust
|
GSG
|
$15
|
Commodities
Select Strategy
|
COMT
|
$44
|
Material
|
IYM
|
$92
|
|
|
|
Oil
|
USO
|
$12
|
|
OIL
|
$11
|
Oil
barrel
|
|
$55
|
Europe
assets
|
|
|
Contra
Total Bond
|
SAGG
|
$30
|
Sell
bonds
|
|
|
Short
bank stocks
|
SEF
|
$21
|
|
|
|
Reduce
cash (CDs, bonds…)
|
|
|
Preparing for prolonged recession
U.S.
could be in a prolonged recession from natural disaster such as earthquake in
California. The trade wars would bring a global recession. In addition to the
above table, more actions are presented here.
Action
|
Related
ETF
|
Current
Price
|
Sell
most U.S. stocks.
|
|
|
Contra
ETFs. See above table
|
|
|
Contra
ETFs and short technology.
|
|
|
Short
U.S. stocks and leave them uncovered.
|
|
|
Short
U.S. stocks with HQ in CA.
|
|
|
Oil
stocks (outside CA).
|
|
|
Farm
stocks (outside CA).
|
|
|
Sell
Chinese stocks.
|
|
|
Short
Chinese stocks
|
|
|
|
|
|
Swiss
stocks or EU currency related.
|
|
|
Short
Treasury bond (risky)
|
TBF
|
$18.77
|
Contra
ETF DIA
|
DOG
|
$52.46
|
Contra
ETF SPY
|
SH
|
$26.13
|
Contra
ETF QQQ
|
PSQ
|
$27.74
|
Contra
Mid Cap (risky)
|
MYY
|
$42.61
|
Contra
Small Cap (risky)
|
SBB
|
$32.32
|
Protecting your lives
Protect
yourself from a stage of no government and police protection.
Action
|
Buy
guns or weapons.
|
Store
enough food.
|
Store
enough water.
|
Store
enough wood.
|
Store
enough gasoline and have a generator.
|
HBM, a risky copper miner, has been added. So far, it is the beat performer.
ReplyDelete