Sunday, November 3, 2019

How I prepare for 2020 disaster


Important. This is my preparation. Talk to your financial advisor before you commit money.

This article prepares you for some of the predicted disasters in 2020, which may never materialize. However, it also helps you prepare yourself for any future disasters. The disasters may never happen but your actions are the insurance for protecting yourself. Depending on your risk tolerance, allocate 2% to 25% for this effort. I divide the actions into several categories.

Preparing for depreciation of USD.
The government has been printing too many USD and the economy is not that rosy as our government describes as of 2019. As a result, the USD would lose the reserve currency status. We know what happened to U.K. when the pound was replaced by USD.  In preparing for a market plunge, we usually accumulate cash or buying safe Treasury bills. It does not work this time if this cash loses most of its buying power.

Here are my suggestions on what to buy. The current prices are based on around Oct. 1, 2019. They are rounded up for easier to remember and they are used for reference only.  Check the current prices and I am not responsible for any errors.

Action
Related
ETF
Current
Price



Gold per ounce.

$1,490
Gold coins (Canadian).

$1,590
Gold ETF
GLD
$141
Gold Trust
IAU
$14
Gold miner
RING
$22



Silver per ounce

$17
Silver (American Eagle)

$26
Silver Trust
SLV
$16



Bitcoin (too risky for me)

$8,000
Copper Miners (risky)
COPX
$17
Commodity-indexed Trust
GSG
$15
Commodities Select Strategy
COMT
$44
Material
IYM
$92



Oil
USO
$12

OIL
$11
Oil barrel

$55
Europe assets


Contra Total Bond
SAGG
$30
Sell bonds


Short bank stocks
SEF
$21



Reduce cash (CDs, bonds…)




Preparing for prolonged recession
U.S. could be in a prolonged recession from natural disaster such as earthquake in California. The trade wars would bring a global recession. In addition to the above table, more actions are presented here.

Action
Related
ETF
Current
Price
Sell most U.S. stocks.


Contra ETFs. See above table


Contra ETFs and short technology.


Short U.S. stocks and leave them uncovered.


Short U.S. stocks with HQ in CA.


Oil stocks (outside CA).


Farm stocks (outside CA).


Sell Chinese stocks.


Short Chinese stocks





Swiss stocks or EU currency related.


Short Treasury bond (risky)
TBF
$18.77
Contra ETF DIA
DOG
$52.46
Contra ETF SPY
SH
$26.13
Contra ETF QQQ
PSQ
$27.74
Contra Mid Cap (risky)
MYY
$42.61
Contra Small Cap (risky)
SBB
$32.32


Protecting your lives
Protect yourself from a stage of no government and police protection.

Action
Buy guns or weapons.
Store enough food.
Store enough water.
Store enough wood.
Store enough gasoline and have a generator.

1 comment:

  1. HBM, a risky copper miner, has been added. So far, it is the beat performer.

    ReplyDelete